The total has moved from 51 down to 50 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Dolphins -1.5 to Dolphins -1. Score Prediction without Trevor Lawrence: Buccaneers 20, Jaguars 13 Score Prediction with Trevor Lawrence: Jaguars 24, Buccaneers 20 Survivor Pools: If Lawrence sits, the Buccaneers become an aggressive, but usable option. If Lawrence sits, I will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in all my entries. If Trevor Lawrence plays, I will be Jacksonville Jaguars heavy. Winner Pools: Expect both teams to be used in roughly 50 percent of entries. The total has moved from 43.5 down to 40.5 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Buccaneers +1 to Buccaneers -3. The Tennessee Titans are a leverage option worth consideration, especially if you are behind in the season-long portion of your pool. Winner Pools: Expect the Seattle Seahawks to be used in roughly 80 percent of entries. ![]() The total has moved from 42.5 down to 41.5 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Titans +2.5 to Titans +3.5. Score Prediction without Zach Wilson: Commanders 13, Jets 10 Score Prediction with Zach Wilson: Jets 20, Commanders 10 Survivor Pools: If Zach Wilson plays, the Jets are an aggressive survivor option this late in the season. If Wilson is out, I will be slightly Washington Commanders heavy with my entries. ![]() If Zach Wilson starts, I will be in line with the field on this matchup. Winner Pools: Expect the New York Jets to be used in roughly 75 percent of entries. The spread for this contest has stayed at Jets -3 with only brief fluctuations. Survivor Pools: If Stroud misses this contest, the Browns are an aggressive, but playable option. If Stroud plays, I’ll be slightly Houston Texans heavy. Stroud misses this contest, I will use the Browns in all my entries. Winner Pools: Expect the Cleveland Browns to be used in roughly 60 percent of entries. The total has moved from 42 down to 40 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Texans -2.5 to Texans +3. I like the Atlanta Falcons as a leverage option, where I will play them in at least 50 percent of my entries. Winner Pools: Expect the Indianapolis Colts to be used in more than 75 percent of entries. The spread for this contest has moved from Falcons +2.5 to Falcons -2.5. Score Prediction: Packers 17, Panthers 13 Survivor Pools: We saw last week that the Packers aren't trustworthy, but if you can’t use them here, you can’t use them at all. The Carolina Panthers are a potential leverage option, but I will stay roughly even with the field on Green Bay. Winner Pools: Expect the Green Bay Packers to be used in more than 90 percent of entries. The total has moved from 36.5 to 37.5 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Panthers +4.5 to Panthers +5. Survivor Pools: This contest should be avoided in survivor. I intend to be roughly even with the field with my entries. The Minnesota Vikings are a highly motivated team that makes for a solid leverage option from a game theory perspective. Winner Pools: Expect the Detroit Lions to be used in more than 85 percent of entries. The total has moved from 47 to 47.5 points. The spread for this contest has moved from Vikings +3.5 to Vikings +3. Survivor Pools: If you still have the Bills, they are an excellent option this week. I will use the Bills in all of my entries. Winner Pools: Expect the Buffalo Bills to be used in nearly all entries. The total has moved between 42.5 and 44 points. On Thursday it moved back up to Chargers +12.5. The spread for this contest has moved from Los Angeles Chargers +14 down to Chargers +11.5. ![]() Score Prediction: Steelers 16, Bengals 13 Survivor Pools: This contest should be avoided. My ratio for this contest will be closer to even. The Pittsburgh Steelers have a very volatile quarterback situation, but they beat Cincinnati 16-10 in Week 12. Winner Pools: Expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be used in roughly 80 percent of entries. The total has moved between 37 and 38 points. The spread in this contest has moved from Steelers +2.5 to Steelers +3. I’ll also provide updates on line movement, while providing updated score predictions when applicable. In this article I’ll discuss how I’m treating various situations in each of those formats. Those contests don’t usually lock until the weekend, so we should make our final decisions as late as possible. ![]() ATS tournaments, as well as survivor and winner pools are among my favorites. I’ve watched every snap, of every NFL game since 2014 because I bet on football in a variety of ways. Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) is called for intentional grounding as Baltimore Ravens defensive tackle Justin Madubuike (92) wraps up during the third quarter of a regular season NFL football matchup.
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